Man you gotta be pumped for Jason, what a rush.

When his opponent limped before the flop, it likely meant Aces, Suited Connectors, or Medium Pair. With the K64 flop, it’s unlikely the guy had a set of sixes or fours (because Jason had one of each), and while it’s possible that the guy had a set of kings, he likely would have reraised on the flop (though not necessarily). Another good indication that he didn’t have a set of kings is his lack of pre-flop raise. Normally, you raise KK pre-flop not just for value, but also because you don’t want a weak Ace (like AT, A9, etc) to limp in behind you and take you off your hand if an Ace flops.

A Jack hit the turn. But, Jason’s opponent had called a substantial raise on the flop, and it’s unlikely he would have done so with JJ (and it’s more unlikely that he would have just limped in pre-flop with JJ instead of raising). So, I wouldn’t put him on a set of Jacks.

I guess you can still worry about a set of kings on the turn, but when the guy only bet $15K into a $60K pot (I guess I left that detail out of my summary), it looks more like a defensive bet than a value bet, so I’d definitely rule out the set of kings. In fact, at this point, it’s looking likely that his opponent has AK (not well played) or KQ (played as best it could be).

I personally would have raised the turn for value. There are a couple reasons for this: First, you get more money in the pot; second, a scare card might come on the river which shuts down the action and precludes Jason from getting any more chips; and third, if you do get raised, you can likely get away from the hand without losing all your chips.

When the 9 hits the river, it’s unlikely that helps his opponent (his opponent would have to have K9, QT, or 99 — all of which are unlikely at this point), so the bet was a good one. I can see checking here, but then again, I’m a wimp…

Turns out the guy had AA, and didn’t play it very well…of course, that’s why you shouldn’t limp with Aces pre-flop…it can be very difficult to play…